Unlike univariate extreme value theory, multivariate extreme value distributions cannot be specified through a finite-dimensional parameter family of distributions. Instead, the many facets of multivariate extremes are mirrored in the inherent dependence structure of component-wise maxima which must be dissociated from the limiting extreme behaviour of its marginal distribution functions before a probabilistic characterisation of an extreme value quality can be determined. Mechanisms applied to elicit extremal dependence typically rely on standardisation of the unknown marginal distribution functions from which pseudo-observations for either Pareto or Fr\'echet marginals result. The relative merits of both of these choices for transformation of marginals have been discussed in the literature, particularly in the context of domains of attraction of an extreme value distribution. This paper is set within this context of modelling penultimate dependence as it proposes a unifying class of estimators for the residual dependence index that eschews consideration of choice of marginals. In addition, a reduced bias variant of the new class of estimators is introduced and their asymptotic properties are developed. The pivotal role of the unifying marginal transform in effectively removing bias is borne by a comprehensive simulation study. The leading application in this paper comprises an analysis of asymptotic independence between rainfall occurrences originating from monsoon-related events at several locations in Ghana.
翻译:与单亚极极值理论不同,多变量极端值分布无法通过分布的有限参数组合来具体确定。相反,多变量极端的许多方面在成份的内在依赖结构中反映了多变量极端的内在依赖性结构,在确定极值质量的概率性化之前,必须将其边缘分布功能与有限的极端极端行为与有限的极端行为脱钩。用于获取极端依赖性的机制通常依赖于对未知边际分布功能的标准化,这种边际分布功能是Pareto 或 Fr\'echet 边际效应的伪观察结果。这两种边际变化选择的相对优点已在文献中讨论过,特别是在极值分布的吸引力领域的背景下。本文是建模倒点依赖性功能的背景,因为它提出了一套统一的偏差依赖指数的估算者类别,可以考虑边际分布的选择。此外,还引入了新的估量器类的偏差变量,并开发了它们的抑制性特性。巩固边际变化这两种选择的相对优点在文献中均有讨论,特别是在极值分布的吸引区域范围内。本文是在模型化前期独立状态下,因此,在模拟分析中进行了若干次的模拟分析。