可再生能源电价机制形成机理研究

项目名称： 可再生能源电价机制形成机理研究

项目编号： No.71473031

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2015

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 蔡强

作者单位： 电子科技大学

项目金额： 60万元

中文摘要： 科学的电价机制是促进可再生能源电力发展的重要手段，其设计与制定依赖于对其形成机理的深入研究与掌握。项目从基于可再生能源电力技术微观特征的投资环境分析入手，始终以可再生能源电价为决策变量，通过识别和梳理可再生能源电力投资中所隐含的实物期权和竞争关系来构建不同情形下不同竞争关系间的期权博弈模型；通过博弈均衡求解得到投资临界值、企业价值等以开展对可再生能源电力投资延迟效应的分析；引入可再生能源电力产品的正外部性因素，构建可再生能源电力投资的社会福利模型并求解得到社会福利；最后，应用系统仿真技术，在以上研究结论基础上，通过对可再生能源电力投资延迟效应、社会福利和电价三者间的内在关系及其动态变化特征的研究与揭示，发现可再生能源电价机制的作用规律，探究社会福利最大化原则下的可再生能源电价机制形成机理，架构可再生能源电价机制的基础理论框架。

中文关键词： 可再生能源电力；延迟效应；社会福利；电价机制；形成机理

英文摘要： Scientific electricity pricing mechanism, as a significant mean to promote the development of renewable electricity supply, its design and formulation generally rely on deep research and understanding on its formulation mechanism. In so far as the project, which commences on the basis of the investment climate of microscopic characteristics of renewable electricity supply, concerns the renewable electricity price as the decision variable. Optional Game Model can be established under different circumstances among various competitive relations through identifying and arranging all the real options and competitive relations connotated in renewable electricity supply investment. It is going to analyze the delayed effect of renewable electricity supply investment through the game equilibrium obtaining the investment threshold and corporate value. Significantly, positive external elements of renewable electricity supply products will be introduced to establish the social welfare model of renewable electricity supply investment, and the social welfare can be obtained. Firstly, based on the above research conclusion, system simulation technology has been used to research and discover the internal relations among delayed effect of renewable electricity supply investment, and social welfare and electricity price, as well as its dynamic change features. Secondly it is able to discover the law of function of renewable electricity pricing mechanism. Thirdly, it, under the principle of maximum social welfare, will explore the formation mechanism of renewable electricity pricing mechanism. Finally, a kind of basically theoretical framework for renewable electricity pricing mechanism will be successfully established as well

英文关键词： renewable energy electricity;delayed effect;social welfare;eletricity pricing mechanism;formation mechanism