经济增长、能源消费与二氧化碳排放的关系研究

项目名称： 经济增长、能源消费与二氧化碳排放的关系研究

项目编号： No.71273286

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 杨子晖

作者单位： 中山大学

项目金额： 56万元

中文摘要： 随着人类经济的不断发展以及能源消费的不断增加，温室气体排放加剧所引发的气候变暖、生态系统恶化等环境问题正日益严峻。如何在实现经济增长的同时，有效减少温室气体排放已成为当今各国亟需解决的重大问题。与此同时，随着中国能源消费的快速增加以及二氧化碳的加剧排放，国际社会要求中国"节能减排"的呼声也不断高涨。如何协调"经济增长"、"能源消费"以及"二氧化碳排放"三者的矛盾与冲突已成为当前中国政策当局面临的重大挑战。有鉴于此，本申请课题拟运用最新发展的现代计量经济学方法，从非线性等多个崭新的研究视角对"经济增长"、"能源消费"与"二氧化碳排放"的关系展开深入研究，并探索关系背后的形成机制，从而为中国未来能源和环境经济政策的选择与安排提供重要的参考依据，而且本课题在得出富有启发意义结论的基础上，将构建现阶段中国发展低碳经济、促进经济可持续发展的政策平台，从而使得本研究课题具有重要的学术价值与现实意义。

中文关键词： 经济增长；能源消费；能源价格波动；有向无环图；

英文摘要： With economy developing rapidly and energy consumption increasing promptly, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have grown considerably, which lead to global warming and environmental deterioration. How to decrease carbon dioxide emissions and keep the development of economy has become an important worldwide issue that need to resolve urgently. Meanwhile, since China has experienced significant rise in energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions, international pressure on China to take further measures aimed to curb CO2 emissions has been growing. How to deal with the conflict between the economic growth, energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions has become a big challenge for Chinese government. In light of this, from multiple new analysis perspectives such as nonlinear, this project will apply recently developed modern econometrics methods to investigate the relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions, and explore internal generative mechanisms, so that to provide important references for the authorities to choose and design the energy-environment policy. And what's more, this project will build policy platform to develop low-carbon economy and promote sustainable development of economy, so it has both important practical and academic significance.

英文关键词： Economic Growth；Energy Consumption；Energy Price Fluctuations；Directed Acyclic Graphs；