价格规制下跨区域电煤供应链动态协调机制研究

项目名称： 价格规制下跨区域电煤供应链动态协调机制研究

项目编号： No.71201164

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 管理科学与工程

项目作者： 彭红军

作者单位： 南京林业大学

项目金额： 19万元

中文摘要： 近年来中国电煤供应紧张现象日显突出，研究认为其根源在于电煤和电力价格规制下的价格双轨制，而对于价格双轨制下供应链协调机制以及价格规制合理性评价等方面的研究主要以定性分析为主。本项目基于煤炭需求的季节性波动，研究跨区域电煤供应链动态协调机制，以克服价格双轨制冲突和物流能力制约，实现电煤稳定供应。首先分别研究跨区域直采和直供模式下，煤炭企业、电力企业组成的两级电煤供应链动态协调机制，然后引入TPL系统，分别研究运力分配是否与电煤价格关联的情形下，三级电煤供应链动态协调机制。综合运用冲突理论、博弈论、随机优化、动态规划等构建理论模型，运用解析式方法、智能算法和计算机仿真相结合进行决策分析，以期得到价格规制下电煤供应链动态协调机制设计和价格规制合理性评价的理论和方法，可以完善能源供应链优化、供应链中政府引导机制、供应链动态协调等相关理论研究，为制定合理的政府规制，协调电煤供应链运作提供决策依据。

中文关键词： 价格规制；煤电供应链；博弈模型；均衡供应；

英文摘要： In recent years, the conflict between coal and electricity has become increasingly prominent. The existing studies recognize that the main cause of the conflict is due to the lateral dual-pricing system of coal and the vertical dual-pricing system of coal and electricity under price regulations. This research takes the vertical and horizontal conflicts caused by government regulations into consideration, works on the dynamic coordination mechanism of inter-regional power coal supply chain based on seasonal demand fluctuations of coal, in order to achieve the "win-win" situation of the whole power coal supply chain and the balance between electricity supply and demand, Then, this study evaluates the reasonableness and effectiveness of price regulations and offers management suggestions accordingly. This research works on the dynamic coordination mechanism of two level power coal supply chain combining the Coal Company and Power Company by using the inter-regional model of direct mining and direct supply, and then explores the relationship between allocation capacity and power coal price, as well as the dynamic coordination mechanism of three level power coal supply chain involved with TPL system. This study integrates theories of operations research, game theory, probability theory, conflict theory, logistics and

英文关键词： Price Regulation；Coal-electricity Supply Chain；Game Model；Balanced Supply；