风险应对视角下多目标应急物流动态定位-路径鲁棒优化研究

项目名称： 风险应对视角下多目标应急物流动态定位-路径鲁棒优化研究

项目编号： No.71203134

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 宏观管理与政策

项目作者： 孙华丽

作者单位： 上海大学

项目金额： 19万元

中文摘要： 大规模非常规突发事件的发生，在给人类带来重大伤亡损失的同时，常引发通讯中断和基础设施受损等次生灾害，使得应急物流系统面临诸多风险，致使应急求援工作更加艰巨。为保证应急物流活动的有效开展和应急资源的及时供应，必须提高应急物流决策的抗风险性。本研究从风险应对视角深入研究随机信息下多目标应急物流动态定位-路径问题，通过剖析不同救援阶段应急物流风险对设施点定位和运输路径安排的影响，以鲁棒优化理论为指导，通过理论建模、算法设计和计算机仿真分别对考虑优先级别的两级动态定位-路径问题和多式联运动态定位-路径问题进行深入研究，在案例分析的基础上提出应急物流设施定位和物资调运方案，分析方案的抗风险鲁棒性，为提高应急管理部门决策的鲁棒性，增强政府的应急反应能力提供有针对性的对策建议。本项目的开展可为实际急物流决策提供理论借鉴，同时有助于丰富和发展应急管理和物流系统理论，拓展鲁棒优化理论的应用范围。

中文关键词： 应急物流；定位-路径问题；设施失灵；随机规划；鲁棒优化

英文摘要： Large-scale unconventional emergencies bring heavy casualties to humans. They also result in the secondary disasters, such as the disruption of the communication system and the damage of infrastructures. All the damages bring a lot of risk to emergency logistics system and make the emergency rescue work more arduous. To guarantee that the activities of emergency logistics are carried out effectively and the emergency resources are supplied timely, it is necessary to improve the anti-risk capabilities of the emergency logistics decisions. The dynamic location-routing problems of multi-objective emergency logistics with random information are studied with the perspective of risk response. The affections of the emergency logistics risks in different rescue stages to the facility location and routing are analyzed in detailed. The dynamic location-routing problems of two-level facilities considering priorities and multimodal transport with transfer stations are studied with the approaches of mathematical formulation, algorithm design and computer simulation based on robust optimization theory. The solution of facility location and resource transportation for emergency logistics is proposed based on the case analysis. The robustness of the solution is also analyzed. The pointed suggestions are prensented to improve th

英文关键词： Emergency logistics；Location-routing problem；Facilities failure；Stochastic programming；Robust optimization