流域水资源复杂系统供水与用水双侧联动智能调控理论及应用

项目名称： 流域水资源复杂系统供水与用水双侧联动智能调控理论及应用

项目编号： No.51279223

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 水利工程

项目作者： 王宗志

作者单位： 水利部交通运输部国家能源局南京水利科学研究院

项目金额： 80万元

中文摘要： 青年基金项目提出了考虑水量与水质的“二维水权”概念，建立了流域初始二维水权分配模型；考虑流域来水与需水不确定性，建立了基于初始二维水权的流域水资源长期优化调控模型，并在北江流域取得了成功应用。出版专著1部，完成学术论文17篇，其中SCI检索4篇、EI检索7篇，获发明专利1项。本项目以上述成果为基础，向供水侧延伸，结合中长期水文预报信息，设计多时段嵌套智能控制器，建立与优化调控模型相衔接的流域水资源实时调控模型，实现水资源系统长期优化运行策略与实时调控目标的统一；向用水侧拓展，建立流域用水行为模拟与结构适应性调控模型，揭示用水系统外部环境与用水行为及用水结构的响应关系；连同青年基金研究成果构建规划与实时结合的流域水资源复杂系统供水与用水双侧联动智能调控理论、方法和应用模式体系。本项目将推动水利科学与系统科学、智能科学的融合集成发展，丰富水资源调控理论，为落实最严格水资源管理制度提供技术基础。

中文关键词： 水资源管理；联动调控；系统仿真；智能计算；综合集成

英文摘要： Water resources intelligent allocation theory based on the initial two-dimensional water right and its application in a river basin, as one youth science foundation project, puts forward the definition of ‘two-dimensional water right’ which takes both water quantity and quality into account, and establishes the initial two-dimensional water right allocation model in a water basin; in view of the uncertainty of incoming water and water demand in a basin, it establishes the long-term optimal regulation model of water resources in a basin based on the initial two-dimension water right, and carries out the application research in the Beijiang River Basin. Research results are one academic book, 17 academic papers among which 4 are cited by SCI and 7 by EI, one invention patent. Based on all above, the project extends to the water supply side, analyzes the design method of the multi-period nested intelligent controller by combining the mid long term information of hydrological forecasting, and establishes the basin water resources real-time regulation model in response to optimal regulation model, so that the unification of the long-term optimal operation strategy of water resources system and the real-time regulation goals can be achieved; the project also extends to the water use side by establishing the basin wate

英文关键词： Water resources management；joint regulation；system simulation；intelligent computation；synthesis integration