国际海运通道安全评价研究

项目名称： 国际海运通道安全评价研究

项目编号： No.71473023

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2015

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 吕靖

作者单位： 大连海事大学

项目金额： 60万元

中文摘要： 海运是国际贸易最主要的运输方式，国际海运通道作为海运的承接载体，其安全关系国家发展全局，对其安全状况准确评估极为重要。由于国际海运通道是一个复杂系统，对其安全的评价要考虑港口、海峡、运河等海上节点和船舶航行所经大洋区域等诸多复杂因素，因此，从宏观角度系统地对国际海运通道安全进行评价的研究工作目前仍处于起步阶段，还需对完整、系统的评价方法进行研究。本研究主要围绕国际海运通道安全评价问题中所涉及的风险辨识程序与方法、评价指标体系以及安全评价模型设计这三个主要科学问题展开，通过分别构建风险识别模型、风险信息收集系统与组合评价模型来建立一套系统、完整的国际海运通道安全评价方法，并最终实现对我国国际海运通道整体安全现状的评估，为我国国际海运通道安全保障工作提供决策依据。

中文关键词： 国际海运通道；海运安全；风险识别；组合评价

英文摘要： Shipping is the most important mode of transport in international trade. As sea lines of communication bear the shipping, assessing its security is significant to the development of countries.The sea lines of communication is a complex system .Ports, channels, canals and the area the shipping lines through must be consided for risk assessment for sea lines of communication. Therefore, researches from a broad perspective about systematically assessing marine security are still in their infancy stage. There has not formed a complete and systematical method. This study focuses on the core questions of assessing the security of sea lines of communication. There are three scientific problems, for instance, the progress of risks identifying, the system of assessing factors and models for security assessment. Through solving these problems, the study makes the application of a new systematical method in the field of risk assessment for sea lines of communication security come true and finally gets the results of China's sea lines of communication security, which will support the decision-making basis for protection on the safety of Sea Lines of Communication of China.

英文关键词： Sea Lines of Communication;Marine Security;Risk Identification;Combination Assessment