I propose kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects in the setting where an analyst has access to a selected sample rather than a random sample; only for select observations, the outcome is observed. I assume selection is as good as random conditional on treatment and a sufficiently rich set of observed covariates, where the covariates are allowed to cause treatment or be caused by treatment -- an extension of missingness-at-random (MAR). I propose estimators of means, increments, and distributions of counterfactual outcomes with closed form solutions in terms of kernel matrix operations, allowing treatment and covariates to be discrete or continuous, and low, high, or infinite dimensional. For the continuous treatment case, I prove uniform consistency with finite sample rates. For the discrete treatment case, I prove root-n consistency, Gaussian approximation, and semiparametric efficiency.
翻译:我提议在分析员能够接触选定样品而不是随机抽样的情况下,对非参数剂量反应曲线和半参数处理效果提出内核脊回归估计值;只观察选定观察结果;我假设选择与随机治疗和足够丰富的观察到的共变体一样好,因为共变体允许进行治疗或因治疗而引起治疗 -- -- 失常现象的延伸(MAR)。我提议用封闭形式解决方案衡量手段、增量和反事实结果分布,在内核矩阵操作方面允许不同或连续、低、高或无限的处理和共变。对于持续治疗案例,我证明与有限的抽样率一致。对于离散治疗案例,我证明根值的一致性、高斯近似值和半参数效率。