Electric vehicles can offer a low carbon emission solution to reverse rising emission trends. However, this requires that the energy used to meet the demand is green. To meet this requirement, accurate forecasting of the charging demand is vital. Short and long-term charging demand forecasting will allow for better optimisation of the power grid and future infrastructure expansions. In this paper, we propose to use publicly available data to forecast the electric vehicle charging demand. To model the complex spatial-temporal correlations between charging stations, we argue that Temporal Graph Convolution Models are the most suitable to capture the correlations. The proposed Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks provide the most accurate forecasts for short and long-term forecasting compared with other forecasting methods.
翻译:电动车辆可以提供低碳排放解决方案,以扭转排放上升趋势。然而,这要求满足需求所需的能源必须是绿色的。为了满足这一要求,准确预测收费需求至关重要。短期和长期收费需求预测可以更好地优化电网和未来基础设施扩张。在本文中,我们提议使用公开可得的数据来预测电动车辆充电需求。为模拟电动车的复杂时空关系,我们主张,Temal图变迁模型最适合捕捉相关关系。拟议的Temoral图变迁网络提供了与其他预测方法相比最准确的短期和长期预测。