Due to the rapid geographic spread of the Aedes mosquito and the increase in dengue incidence, dengue fever has been an increasing concern for public health authorities in tropical and subtropical countries worldwide. Significant challenges such as climate change, the burden on health systems, and the rise of insecticide resistance highlight the need to introduce new and cost-effective tools for developing public health interventions. Various and locally adapted statistical methods for developing climate-based early warning systems have increasingly been an area of interest and research worldwide. Costa Rica, a country with micro-climates and endemic circulation of the dengue virus (DENV) since 1993, provides ideal conditions for developing projection models with the potential to help guide public health efforts and interventions to control and monitor future dengue outbreaks.
翻译:由于艾代斯蚊子的迅速地理传播和登革热发病率的增加,登革热已成为全世界热带和亚热带国家公共卫生当局日益关注的问题,气候变化、卫生系统负担和杀虫剂抗药性上升等重大挑战突出表明,需要采用新的、成本效益高的工具来制定公共卫生干预措施,开发基于气候的预警系统的各种和适合当地情况的统计方法日益成为全世界关注和研究的领域,自1993年以来,哥斯达黎加是一个有微气候和登革热病毒流行的国家,为开发预测模型提供了理想条件,有可能帮助指导公共卫生工作以及控制和监测今后登革热爆发的干预措施。