Since March 2020, the environment surrounding football has changed dramatically because of the COVID-19 pandemic. After a few months' break, re-scheduled matches were held behind closed doors without spectators. The main objective of this study is a quantitative evaluation of ``crowd effects'' on home advantage, using the results of these closed matches. The proposed analysis uses pairwise comparison method to reduce the effects caused by the unbalanced schedule. The following conclusions were drawn from the statistical hypothesis tests conducted in this study: In four major European leagues, the home advantage is reduced in closed matches compared to than in the normal situation, i.e., with spectators. The reduction amounts among leagues were different. For example, in Germany, the home advantage was negative during the closed-match period. On the other hand,in England,statistically significant differences in home advantage were not observed between closed matches and normal situation.
翻译:自2020年3月以来,足球周围的环境由于COVID-19大流行而发生了巨大变化。在中断几个月后,重新排期的比赛在没有观众旁观的情况下被放在闭门门后举行。本研究的主要目标是利用这些闭门比赛的结果,对“人群效应”对家庭优势进行定量评估。拟议的分析使用对称比较方法来减少不平衡时间表的影响。本研究中进行的统计假设测试得出了以下结论:在四个主要的欧洲联盟中,闭门比赛的优势比正常情况下要小,即观众的优势比正常情况下要小。联盟之间的削减幅度不同。例如,在德国,闭门比赛期间的家庭优势是负的。另一方面,在英格兰,在闭门比赛和正常局势之间没有观察到家庭优势的统计上的重大差异。