Post-pandemic world has thrown up several challenges, such as, high inflation, low growth, high debt, collapse of economies, political instability, job losses, lowering of income in addition to damages caused natural disasters, more convincing attributed to climate change, apart from existing inequalities. Efforts are being made to mitigate these challenges at various levels. To the best of the knowledge of the author, most of the prior researches have focussed on specific scenarios, use cases, inter-relationships between couple of sectors and more so on optimal policies, such as, impact of carbon tax on individuals, interaction between taxes and welfare, etc. However, not much effort have been made to understand the actual impact on individual agents due to diverse policy changes and how agents cope with changing economic dynamics. This paper considers progressive deteriorating conditions of increase in expense, degrading environmental utility, increase in taxation, decrease in welfare and lowering of income with recourse to inherited properties, credits and return on investments, and tries to understand how the agents cope with the changing situations using an agent based model with matrices related to savings, credits, assets. Results indicate that collapse of agents' economic conditions can be quite fast, sudden and drastic for all income groups in most cases.
翻译:高通胀、低增长、高债务、经济崩溃、政局不稳、失业、收入下降以及自然灾害造成的破坏等诸多挑战,除了现有的不平等之外,还更令人信服地归因于气候变化; 正在各级努力减轻这些挑战; 根据作者所知,大多数先前的研究都集中在具体情景、使用案例、两个部门之间的相互关系,而最佳政策则更注重这些关系,如碳税对个人的影响、税收和福利之间的相互作用等。 然而,由于政策的变化以及各种因素如何应对不断变化的经济动态,没有作出很大努力来了解个人行为主体的实际影响。本文认为,由于开支增加、环境效用降低、税收增加、福利减少和依靠继承财产、信贷和投资回报的收入而逐渐恶化的情况,并试图了解代理人如何利用与储蓄、信贷、资产有关的矩阵模型应对不断变化的情况。结果显示,在多数情况下,代理人经济状况的崩溃对所有收入群体来说可能非常迅速、突然和剧烈。