The idea of covariate balance is at the core of causal inference. Inverse propensity weights play a central role because they are the unique set of weights that balance the covariate distributions of different treatment groups. We discuss two broad approaches to estimating these weights: the more traditional one, which fits a propensity score model and then uses the reciprocal of the estimated propensity score to construct weights, and the balancing approach, which estimates the inverse propensity weights essentially by the method of moments, finding weights that achieve balance in the sample. We review ideas from the causal inference, sample surveys, and semiparametric estimation literatures, with particular attention to the role of balance as a sufficient condition for robust inference. We focus on the inverse propensity weighting and augmented inverse propensity weighting estimators for the average treatment effect given strong ignorability and consider generalizations for a broader class of problems including policy evaluation and the estimation of individualized treatment effects.
翻译:共变平衡的概念是因果推理的核心。反向偏差加权具有核心作用,因为它们是平衡不同治疗组群共变分布的独特重数组。我们讨论估算这些重数的两种广泛方法:较传统的方法,适合偏差分模型,然后使用估计偏差分的对等法来计算加权数;平衡方法,主要通过时间方法来估计反向偏差加权数,找到在抽样中实现平衡的重数。我们从因果推断、抽样调查和半对称估计文献中审查各种想法,特别注意平衡作为稳健推理的充分条件的作用。我们注重偏向偏向权重,并增加平均治疗效果的偏向偏向权重,因为这种偏向可忽略性,并考虑对更广泛的一类问题,包括政策评价和对个别治疗影响的估计,作一般性估计。