A deterministic pathogen transmission model based on high-fidelity physics has been developed. The model combines computational fluid dynamics and computational crowd dynamics in order to be able to provide accurate tracing of viral matter that is exhaled, transmitted and inhaled via aerosols. The examples shown indicate that even with modest computing resources, the propagation and transmission of viral matter can be simulated for relatively large areas with thousands of square meters, hundreds of pedestrians and several minutes of physical time. The results obtained and insights gained from these simulations can be used to inform global pandemic propagation models, increasing substantially their accuracy.
翻译:该模型结合计算流体动态和计算人群动态,以便能够准确追踪通过气溶胶吸入、传播和吸入的病毒物质,这些实例表明,即使计算资源不多,也可以模拟以数千平方米、数百行人和数分钟物理时间的较大区域传播和传播病毒物质,这些模拟的结果和洞察力可用于为全球大流行病传播模型提供信息,大大提高其准确性。