Predictive process monitoring is a subfield of process mining that aims to estimate case or event features for running process instances. Such predictions are of significant interest to the process stakeholders. However, most of the state-of-the-art methods for predictive monitoring require the training of complex machine learning models, which is often inefficient. Moreover, most of these methods require a hyper-parameter optimization that requires several repetitions of the training process which is not feasible in many real-life applications. In this paper, we propose an instance selection procedure that allows sampling training process instances for prediction models. We show that our instance selection procedure allows for a significant increase of training speed for next activity and remaining time prediction methods while maintaining reliable levels of prediction accuracy.
翻译:预测过程监测是工序采矿的一个子领域,旨在估计运行工序实例的个案或事件特征,这种预测对工序利益攸关方具有重大意义,然而,大多数最先进的预测监测方法需要培训复杂的机器学习模型,这种模型往往效率低下,而且,这些方法大多需要超参数优化,这需要多次重复培训过程,而这在许多实际应用中是不可行的。在本文件中,我们提议了一个实例选择程序,允许对预测模型的培训过程实例进行取样。我们表明,我们的实例选择程序允许大大提高下一个活动的培训速度和剩余时间预测方法,同时保持可靠的预测准确度。