Borrowing of information from historical or external data to inform inference in a current trial is an expanding field in the era of precision medicine, where trials are often performed in small patient cohorts for practical or ethical reasons. Many approaches for borrowing from external data have been proposed. Even though these methods are mainly based on Bayesian approaches by incorporating external information into the prior for the current analysis, frequentist operating characteristics of the analysis strategy are of interest. In particular, type I error and power at a prespecified point alternative are in the focus. It is well-known that borrowing from external information may lead to the alteration of type I error rate. We propose a procedure to investigate and report the frequentist operating characteristics in this context. The approach evaluates type I error rate of the test with borrowing from external data and calibrates the test without borrowing to this type I error rate. On this basis, a fair comparison of power between the test with and without borrowing is achieved.
翻译:在精确医学时代,从历史或外部数据中借取信息,为当前试验中的推论提供信息,是一个日益扩大的领域,因为由于实际或道德原因,往往在小病人群中进行试验,从外部数据中借取许多方法,虽然这些方法主要以贝叶斯方法为基础,将外部信息纳入当前分析的先期分析,但分析战略的常客操作特点值得注意,特别是,在预设的替代方法中,第一类错误和权力是重点,众所周知,从外部信息中借出可能导致改变第一类错误率。我们建议了调查并报告这方面经常使用的业务特点的程序。该方法通过从外部数据中借出来评价第一类试验误差率,并在不借用这种类型I误差率的情况下校准试验。在此基础上,将测试与不借出的能力进行公平的比较。</s>