The d-separation criterion detects the compatibility of a joint probability distribution with a directed acyclic graph through certain conditional independences. In this work, we study this problem in the context of categorical probability theory by introducing a categorical definition of causal models, a categorical notion of d-separation, and proving an abstract version of the d-separation criterion. This approach has two main benefits. First, categorical d-separation is a very intuitive criterion based on topological connectedness. Second, our results apply in measure-theoretic probability (with standard Borel spaces), and therefore provide a clean proof of the equivalence of local and global Markov properties with causal compatibility for continuous and mixed variables.
翻译:d-分离标准通过某些有条件独立,检测出联合概率分布与定向单环图的兼容性。在这项工作中,我们从绝对概率理论的角度研究这一问题,方法是引入因果关系模型的绝对定义,一个绝对的分离概念,并证明d-分离标准的抽象版本。这种方法有两个主要好处。首先,绝对的d-分离是一个基于地貌关联性的非常直观的标准。第二,我们的结果适用于测量-理论概率(标准波雷尔空间),因此提供了一种清洁的证据,证明当地和全球的马尔科夫特性与连续和混合变量的因果关系的等同性。