Scoring rules are widely used to rank athletes in sports and candidates in elections. Each position in each individual ranking is worth a certain number of points; the total sum of points determines the aggregate ranking. The question is how to choose a scoring rule for a specific application. First, we derive a one-parameter family with geometric scores which satisfies two principles of independence: once an extremely strong or weak candidate is removed, the aggregate ranking ought to remain intact. This family includes Borda count, generalised plurality (medal count), and generalised antiplurality (threshold rule) as edge cases, and we find which additional axioms characterise these rules. Second, we introduce a one-parameter family with optimal scores: the athletes should be ranked according to their expected overall quality. Finally, using historical data from biathlon, golf, and athletics we demonstrate how the geometric and optimal scores can simplify the selection of suitable scoring rules, show that these scores closely resemble the actual scores used by the organisers, and provide an explanation for empirical phenomena observed in biathlon and golf tournaments. We see that geometric scores approximate the optimal scores well in events where the distribution of athletes' performances is roughly uniform.
翻译:分级规则被广泛用于体育运动员和选举候选人的排名。 每个人排名中的每一职位都值得一定数量的分数; 点数总和决定总排名。 问题是如何为特定应用选择一个评分规则。 首先, 我们产生一个单数家族, 分数符合两个独立原则: 一旦一个非常强或弱的候选者被撤走, 总计排名应该保持完整。 这个家族包括波尔达计分、 通用的多元( medal 计数) 和通用的反多元性( 超限规则) 等边缘案例, 我们发现这些规则具有另外的正弦特征。 其次, 我们引入一个一等数家族, 最优分数: 运动员应该按其预期的整体质量排列等级。 最后, 我们使用比德特伦、 高尔夫和体育界的历史数据来证明, 测量和最佳分数如何简化合适的评分规则的选择, 显示这些分数与组织者的实际分数非常接近, 并且为在比阿特伦和高尔夫杯锦赛中观察到的经验性现象提供了解释。 我们发现, 几度得分的运动员最优分的运动员最优分。