We give a probabilistic analysis of inductive knowledge and belief and explore its predictions concerning knowledge about the future, about laws of nature, and about the values of inexactly measured quantities. The analysis combines a theory of knowledge and belief formulated in terms of relations of comparative normality with a probabilistic reduction of those relations. It predicts that only highly probable propositions are believed, and that many widely held principles of belief-revision fail.
翻译:我们对感性知识和信仰进行概率分析,并探讨其对未来、自然法则和不精确测量数量价值的知识的预测。 分析结合了以相对正常关系和这些关系的概率下降为根据的知识和信仰理论。 它预测只有极有可能的主张才被相信,许多广泛持有的信仰改变原则都失败了。