Robust learning is an important issue in Scientific Machine Learning (SciML). There are several works in the literature addressing this topic. However, there is an increasing demand for methods that can simultaneously consider all the different uncertainty components involved in SciML model identification. Hence, this work proposes a comprehensive methodology for uncertainty evaluation of the SciML that also considers several possible sources of uncertainties involved in the identification process. The uncertainties considered in the proposed method are the absence of theory and causal models, the sensitiveness to data corruption or imperfection, and the computational effort. Therefore, it was possible to provide an overall strategy for the uncertainty-aware models in the SciML field. The methodology is validated through a case study, developing a Soft Sensor for a polymerization reactor. The results demonstrated that the identified Soft Sensor are robust for uncertainties, corroborating with the consistency of the proposed approach.
翻译:强有力的学习是科学机器学习(ScimL)中的一个重要问题。文献中有若干关于这一专题的著作。然而,对于能够同时考虑ScimL模型识别所涉及的所有不同不确定性组成部分的方法的需求日益增加。因此,这项工作提出了对ScimL模型的不确定性评估的全面方法,该方法也考虑到识别过程中可能存在的不确定性的若干来源。拟议方法中考虑的不确定性是缺乏理论和因果模型,对数据腐败或不完善的敏感度,以及计算努力。因此,有可能为SciML领域具有不确定性的模型提供一个总体战略。该方法通过案例研究得到验证,为聚合反应堆开发一个软传感器。结果表明,所查明的软传感器对于不确定性是稳健的,与拟议方法的一致性相一致。