We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and verify that they are typical using extensive outage data collected across North America. Some usual duration metrics show impractically high statistical variability, and we recommend new duration metrics that perform better.
翻译:我们讨论如何通过模拟断电和从公用数据中恢复过程来测量电源传输系统复原力事件的持续时间。 我们引入了新型的普瓦森进程模型,描述复原力事件的进展,并使用在北美各地收集的大量断电数据来核实其典型性。 一些通常的持续时间指标显示了不切实际的高统计差异性,我们建议采用新的持续时间指标,其效果更好。