Increasing attention has been drawn to the misuse of statistical methods over recent years, with particular concern about the prevalence of practices such as poor experimental design, cherry-picking and inadequate reporting. These failures are largely unintentional and no more common in ecology than in other scientific disciplines, with many of them easily remedied given the right guidance. Originating from a discussion at the 2020 International Statistical Ecology Conference, we show how ecologists can build their research following four guiding principles for impactful statistical research practices: 1. Define a focused research question, then plan sampling and analysis to answer it; 2. Develop a model that accounts for the distribution and dependence of your data; 3. Emphasise effect sizes to replace statistical significance with ecological relevance; 4. Report your methods and findings in sufficient detail so that your research is valid and reproducible. Listed in approximate order of importance, these principles provide a framework for experimental design and reporting that guards against unsound practices. Starting with a well-defined research question allows researchers to create an efficient study to answer it, and guards against poor research practices that lead to false positives and poor replicability. Correct and appropriate statistical models give sound conclusions, good reporting practices and a focus on ecological relevance make results impactful and replicable. Illustrated with an example from a recent study into the impact of disturbance on upland swamps, this paper explains the rationale for the selection and use of effective statistical practices and provides practical guidance for ecologists seeking to improve their use of statistical methods.
翻译:近年来,人们日益关注滥用统计方法的问题,尤其关注诸如实验设计不当、摘樱桃和报告不足等做法的普遍程度,这些失败在很大程度上是无意的,在生态学中并不比其他科学学科更常见,其中许多都是容易得到正确指导的。根据2020年国际统计生态会议的讨论,我们展示了生态学家如何根据影响深远的统计研究实践的四项指导原则建立研究:1. 界定一个重点研究问题,然后计划取样和分析,以解决这一问题;2. 开发一种模型,说明数据的分配和依赖性;3. 强调影响大小,以取代具有生态相关性的统计意义;4. 充分详细报告你的方法和调查结果,以便你的研究成果是有效和可复制的。这些原则按重要性排列,为实验性设计和报告提供了框架,以防范不健全的做法。从定义明确的研究问题开始,研究人员能够创造有效的研究答案,并防范导致错误的积极性和可复制性不良的研究做法;3. 正确和适当的统计模型提供了正确的结论、良好的报告做法和结论,以便您的研究能够重新得到利用,从而从统计学学方面得出一个具有实际意义的理由。