With the increasing adoption of intelligent transportation systems and the upcoming era of autonomous vehicles, vehicular services (such as, remote driving, cooperative awareness, and hazard warning) will face an ever changing and dynamic environment. Traffic flows on the roads is a critical condition for these services and, therefore, it is of paramount importance to forecast how they will evolve over time. By knowing future events (such as, traffic jams), vehicular services can be dimensioned in an on-demand fashion in order to minimize Service Level Agreements (SLAs) violations, thus reducing the chances of car accidents. This research departs from an evaluation of traditional time-series techniques with recent Machine Learning (ML)-based solutions to forecast traffic flows in the roads of Torino (Italy). Given the accuracy of the selected forecasting techniques, a forecast-based scaling algorithm is proposed and evaluated over a set of dimensioning experiments of three distinct vehicular services with strict latency requirements. Results show that the proposed scaling algorithm enables resource savings of up to a 5% at the cost of incurring in an increase of less than 0.4% of latency violations.
翻译:随着智能运输系统的日益采用和自治车辆即将到来的时代,车辆服务(如远程驾驶、合作意识和危险警告)将面临不断变化的动态环境。道路交通流量是这些服务的关键条件,因此,预测它们如何随时间演变至关重要。通过了解未来事件(如交通堵塞),车辆服务可以按需的方式具有一定规模,以尽量减少违反服务级别协议的行为,从而减少发生汽车事故的可能性。这一研究脱离了对传统时间序列技术的评估,而最近采用了基于机器学习(ML)的预测托里诺公路交通流量的方法。鉴于选定的预测技术的准确性,建议并评价基于预报的扩大算法,对三种具有严格潜伏要求的截然不同的车辆服务进行一系列规模实验。结果显示,拟议的按比例算法可以节省高达5%的资源,其成本是增加低于0.4%的耐久性违规率。