Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call \textit{certainty} and \textit{doubt}, that can be used in both a Bayesian and frequentist framework to assess and compare the quality and uncertainty of predictions in (multi-)classification decision machine learning problems.
翻译:不确定性的数量特征和估计在优化和决策过程中具有基础重要性。我们在此提出了一种直观的分数——称其为“确定性”和“疑虑”,可用于贝叶斯和频率论框架中来评估和比较(多类)分类决策机器学习问题预测的质量和不确定性。