Statistical methods are based on model assumptions, and it is statistical folklore that a method's model assumptions should be checked before applying it. This can be formally done by running one or more misspecification tests testing model assumptions before running a method that makes these assumptions; here we focus on model-based tests. A combined test procedure can be defined by specifying a protocol in which first model assumptions are tested and then, conditionally on the outcome, a test is run that requires or does not require the tested assumptions. Although such an approach is often taken in practice, much of the literature that investigated this is surprisingly critical of it. Our aim is to explore conditions under which model checking is advisable or not advisable. For this, we review results regarding such "combined procedures" in the literature, we review and discuss controversial views on the role of model checking in statistics, and we present a general setup in which we can show that preliminary model checking is advantageous, which implies conditions for making model checking worthwhile.
翻译:统计方法以模型假设为基础,而统计民俗则要求在应用方法之前先对方法的模型假设进行检验。这可以通过在使用一种或多种不恰当的测试模型假设方法之前先运行一种或多种不恰当的测试模型假设来正式实现;我们在此侧重于基于模型的测试。可以规定一个联合测试程序,在协议中首先测试模型假设,然后以结果为条件,进行需要或不需要经过测试的假设的测试。虽然这种方法经常在实践中采用,但调查这一方法的许多文献对此提出惊人的批评。我们的目的是探索模式检查是否可取的条件。为此,我们审查文献中这种“合并程序”的结果,审查和讨论关于模型检查在统计中作用的争议性观点,我们提出一个总体设置,我们可以在其中显示初步模型检查是有利的,这意味着使模型检查具有价值的条件。