High-cardinality categorical features are pervasive in actuarial data (e.g. occupation in commercial property insurance). Standard categorical encoding methods like one-hot encoding are inadequate in these settings. In this work, we present a novel _Generalised Linear Mixed Model Neural Network_ ("GLMMNet") approach to the modelling of high-cardinality categorical features. The GLMMNet integrates a generalised linear mixed model in a deep learning framework, offering the predictive power of neural networks and the transparency of random effects estimates, the latter of which cannot be obtained from the entity embedding models. Further, its flexibility to deal with any distribution in the exponential dispersion (ED) family makes it widely applicable to many actuarial contexts and beyond. We illustrate and compare the GLMMNet against existing approaches in a range of simulation experiments as well as in a real-life insurance case study. Notably, we find that the GLMMNet often outperforms or at least performs comparably with an entity embedded neural network, while providing the additional benefit of transparency, which is particularly valuable in practical applications. Importantly, while our model was motivated by actuarial applications, it can have wider applicability. The GLMMNet would suit any applications that involve high-cardinality categorical variables and where the response cannot be sufficiently modelled by a Gaussian distribution.
翻译:GLMMNet将一般线性混合模型纳入深层学习框架,提供神经网络的预测力和随机效应估计的透明度,而随机效应估计无法从实体嵌入模型中获得。此外,在处理指数分散(ED)家族的任何分布上的灵活性使其广泛适用于许多精算背景和范围以外的情况。我们通过模拟实验和真实生命保险案例研究,将GLMMNet与现有方法进行比较。值得注意的是,我们发现GLMMNet往往与实体嵌入的神经网络脱节,或至少与实体嵌入的神经网络进行兼容,同时提供透明度的额外好处,这在实际应用中尤其具有价值。我们模型的可应用性是,因为高货币网络的可变性应用性是高货币化的。