The integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid is becoming increasingly important as the world moves towards a more sustainable energy future. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources can make it challenging to manage the power grid and ensure a stable supply of electricity. In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based approach for predicting energy demand in a smart power grid, which can improve the integration of renewable energy sources by providing accurate predictions of energy demand. We use long short-term memory networks, which are well-suited for time series data, to capture complex patterns and dependencies in energy demand data. The proposed approach is evaluated using four datasets of historical energy demand data from different energy distribution companies including American Electric Power, Commonwealth Edison, Dayton Power and Light, and Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection. The proposed model is also compared with two other state of the art forecasting algorithms namely, Facebook Prophet and Support Vector Regressor. The experimental results show that the proposed REDf model can accurately predict energy demand with a mean absolute error of 1.4%. This approach has the potential to improve the efficiency and stability of the power grid by allowing for better management of the integration of renewable energy sources.
翻译:将可再生能源整合到电力网中,随着世界走向更可持续的能源未来,变得越来越重要。然而,可再生能源的间歇性特性可能会使电力网的管理和确保稳定的电力供应变得具有挑战性。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于深度学习的方法,用于预测智能电网中的能源需求,它可以通过提供精确的能源需求预测来改善可再生能源的整合。我们使用长短期记忆网络,这种网络适用于时间序列数据,以捕捉能源需求数据中的复杂模式和依赖性。所提出的方法是使用来自不同能源分配公司的四个历史能源需求数据集进行评估,包括American Electric Power、Commonwealth Edison、Dayton Power and Light和Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection。所提出的模型也与另外两种最先进的预测算法(即Facebook Prophet和支持向量回归器)进行比较。实验结果表明,所提出的REDf模型可以精确地预测能源需求,平均绝对误差为1.4%。这种方法有潜力通过允许更好地管理可再生能源的整合,提高电力网的效率和稳定性。