Meta-analysis is routinely performed in many scientific disciplines. This analysis is attractive since discoveries are possible even when all the individual studies are underpowered. However, the meta-analytic discoveries may be entirely driven by signal in a single study, and thus non-replicable. The lack of replicability of scientific findings has been of great concern following the influential paper of Ioannidis (2005). Although the great majority of meta-analyses carried out to date do not infer on the replicability of their findings, it is possible to do so. We provide a selective overview of analyses that can be carried out towards establishing replicability of the scientific findings. We describe methods for the setting where a single outcome is examined in multiple studies (as is common in systematic reviews of medical interventions), as well as for the setting where multiple studies each examine multiple features (as in genomics applications). We also discuss some of the current shortcomings and future directions.
翻译:元分析是在许多科学学科中例行进行的,这种分析具有吸引力,因为发现是可能的,即使所有个别研究均力不足,但元分析发现可能完全由单一研究中的信号驱动,因此无法复制。在Ioannidis (2005年)有影响力的论文之后,科学研究结果无法复制,令人极为关切(2005年),尽管迄今为止进行的绝大多数元分析都无法推断其研究结果的可复制性,但有可能这样做。我们有选择地概述了为确定科学研究结果的可复制性而可进行的分析。我们描述了在多种研究中审查单一结果(如系统审查医疗干预措施时常见的情况)以及每次研究多种特征(如基因学应用)的设置方法。我们还讨论了目前存在的一些缺陷和今后的方向。