Latent variable models are becoming increasingly popular in economics for high-dimensional categorical data such as text and surveys. Often the resulting low-dimensional representations are plugged into downstream econometric models that ignore the statistical structure of the upstream model, which presents serious challenges for valid inference. We show how Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) implemented with parallelized automatic differentiation provides a computationally efficient, easy-to-code, and statistically robust solution for this problem. Via a series of applications, we show that modeling integrated structure can non-trivially affect inference and that HMC appears to markedly outperform current approaches to inference in integrated models.
翻译:在文本和调查等高维绝对数据经济学中,原可变模型越来越受欢迎,结果产生的低维表现往往被塞入下游计量经济学模型,这些模型忽视了上游模型的统计结构,对有效推论提出了严重挑战。我们展示了汉密尔顿·蒙特卡洛(HMC)如何在平行自动区分下实施,为这一问题提供了一种计算效率高、易于编码和统计健全的解决办法。通过一系列应用,我们显示,建模综合结构可以对推论产生非边际影响,而HMC似乎明显优于当前综合模型推论方法。