It is increasingly recognised that advances in artificial intelligence could have large and long-lasting impacts on society. However, what form those impacts will take, just how large and long-lasting they will be, and whether they will ultimately be positive or negative for humanity, is far from clear. Based on surveying literature on the societal impacts of AI, we identify and discuss five potential long-term impacts of AI: how AI could lead to long-term changes in science, cooperation, power, epistemics, and values. We review the state of existing research in each of these areas and highlight priority questions for future research.
翻译:人们日益认识到,人工智能的进步可能会对社会产生巨大和长期的影响,然而,这些影响将采取何种形式,其规模和持久性如何,以及它们最终是否会对人类产生积极或消极的影响,还远非显而易见。 根据关于AI的社会影响的调查文献,我们确定并讨论AI的五种潜在长期影响:AI如何导致科学、合作、权力、认知和价值观的长期变化。我们审查了这些领域的现有研究状况,并突出强调了未来研究的优先问题。