Bayesian inference can be embedded into an appropriately defined dynamics in the space of probability measures. In this paper, we take Brownian motion and its associated Fokker--Planck equation as a starting point for such embeddings and explore several interacting particle approximations. More specifically, we consider both deterministic and stochastic interacting particle systems and combine them with the idea of preconditioning by the empirical covariance matrix. In addition to leading to affine invariant formulations which asymptotically speed up convergence, preconditioning allows for gradient-free implementations in the spirit of the ensemble Kalman filter. While such gradient-free implementations have been demonstrated to work well for posterior measures that are nearly Gaussian, we extend their scope of applicability to multimodal measures by introducing localised gradient-free approximations. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the considered methodologies.
翻译:贝叶斯推论可以嵌入概率测量空间的适当定义动态中。 在本文中,我们以布朗运动及其相关的Fokker-Planck等式作为这种嵌入的起点,并探索若干相互作用的粒子近似值。更具体地说,我们既考虑确定性和随机性交互粒子系统,又考虑将其与经验共变矩阵的前提条件概念结合起来。除了导致逐渐加速趋同的细微变异配方外,先决条件是允许本着通则Kalman过滤器的精神实施无梯度的。虽然这种无梯度执行已经证明对近高斯的后方措施行之有效,但我们通过采用地方化无梯度近似值的近似值,扩大了其适用于多式措施的范围。数字结果显示了所考虑的方法的有效性。