To investigate the structure of individual differences in performance on behavioral tasks, Haaf and Rouder (2017) developed a class of hierarchical Bayesian mixed models with varying levels of constraint on the individual effects. The models are then compared via Bayes factors, telling us which model best predicts the observed data. One common criticism of their method is that the observed data are assumed to be drawn from a normal distribution. However, for most cognitive tasks, the primary measure of performance is a response time, the distribution of which is well known to not be normal. In this paper, I investigate the assumption of normality for two datasets in numerical cognition. Specifically, I show that using a shifted lognormal model for the response times does not change the overall pattern of inference. Further, since the model-estimated effects are now on a logarithmic scale, the interpretation of the modeling becomes more difficult, particularly because the estimated effect is now multiplicative rather than additive. As a result, I recommend that even though response times are not normally distributed in general, the simplification afforded by the Haaf and Rouder (2017) approach provides a pragmatic approach to modeling individual differences in behavioral tasks.
翻译:为了调查行为任务业绩上的个人差异结构,Haaf和Ruder(2017年)开发了一种等级等级的贝叶斯混合模型,对个别影响有不同程度的限制。然后通过Bayes因素对这些模型进行比较,告诉我们哪个模型最能预测观察到的数据。对其方法的一个常见批评是,观察到的数据是从正常分布中得出的。然而,对于大多数认知任务来说,主要的业绩衡量标准是反应时间,其分布众所周知并不正常。在本文中,我调查了两种数据集在数字认知中的正常度假设。具体地说,我表明,在反应时间使用改变的逻辑异常模型并不能改变总的推论模式。此外,由于模型估计的影响现在处于逻辑尺度上,因此模型的诠释变得更加困难,特别是因为估计效果现在是多倍,而不是累加。结果是,我建议,即使通常没有在一般情况下分配反应时间,但Haaf和Ruder(2017年)采用的方法为模拟个人行为差异提供了一个务实的模型方法。