We consider the problem of testing for treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies, and propose a nonparametric test based on multisample U-statistics. To account for potential confounders, we use reweighted data where the weights are determined by estimated propensity scores. The proposed method does not require any parametric assumptions on the outcomes and bypasses the need for modeling the treatment effect for each study subgroup. We establish the asymptotic normality for the test statistic, and demonstrate its superior numerical performance over several competing approaches via simulation studies. Two real data applications including an employment program evaluation study and a mental health study of China's one-child policy are also discussed.
翻译:我们考虑了观察研究中治疗效果异质性测试的问题,提出了基于多样本U-统计学的非参数测试。为了说明潜在的混杂者,我们使用重加权数据,重量由估计倾向性分数确定。拟议方法并不要求对结果作任何参数假设,而忽略了对每个研究分组的治疗效果建模的必要性。我们为测试统计确定了无症状的正常性,并通过模拟研究证明了其优于若干相互竞争的方法的数字性能。我们还讨论了两种真实数据应用,包括就业方案评价研究和中国一子政策心理健康研究。