Collective behavior of people in large groups and emergent crowd dynamics can have dangerous and disastrous results when panic is introduced. These events can be caused by emergency situations such as fires in a large building or a stampeding effect when people are rushing in a densely packed area. In this paper, we will use an agent-based modeling approach to simulate different evacuation events in an attempt to understand what is the most efficient scenario. Specifically, we will focus on how people with disabilities are impacted by chosen parameters during an emergency evacuation. We chose an ABM to simulate this because we want to specify specific roles for different "agents" in our model. Specifically, we will focus on the influence of people with disabilities on crowd dynamics and the optimal exits. Does the placement of seating for people with disabilities affect the time it takes for the last person to exit the building? What effect does poor signage have on the time it takes for able-bodied and people with disabilities to exit safely? What happens if some people do not know about alternative exits in their panicked state? Using our agent-based model, we will investigate these questions while also adjusting other outside effects such as the density of the crowd, the speed at which people exit, and the location of people at the start of the simulation.
翻译:当出现恐慌时,大型群体和突发人群动态中的人的集体行为可能产生危险和灾难性后果。 这些事件可能是紧急情况造成的, 比如大型建筑的火灾, 或者人们在拥挤的拥挤地区冲撞时产生的压倒效应。 在本文中, 我们将使用基于代理的模拟方法模拟不同的疏散事件, 以试图理解什么是最有效的情景。 具体地说, 我们将侧重于残疾人在紧急疏散过程中如何受到所选择的参数的影响。 我们选择了一种反弹道导弹来模拟这一点, 因为我们想要为模型中不同的“ 代理人” 指定具体的角色。 具体地说, 我们将重点关注残疾人对人群动态和最佳出口的影响。 为残疾人安放座位是否会影响最后一个人离开大楼的时间? 标志差对有能力的人和残疾人安全撤离的时间有什么影响? 如果有些人不知道他们的恐慌状态中的替代出口, 会发生什么情况? 使用我们的代理模型, 我们将调查这些问题, 同时调整其它外部影响, 如人群的密度、 退出的速度、 人群的距离。