Trade-off between predictive performance and FDR control for high-dimensional Gaussian model selection

In the context of the high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression for ordered variables, we study the variable selection procedure via the minimization of the penalized least-squares criterion. We focus on model selection where the penalty function depends on an unknown multiplicative constant commonly calibrated for prediction. We propose a new proper calibration of this hyperparameter to simultaneously control predictive risk and false discovery rate. We obtain non-asymptotic theoretical bounds on the False Discovery Rate with respect to the hyperparameter and we provide an algorithm to calibrate it. It is based on completely observable quantities in view of applications. Our algorithm is validated by an extensive simulation study and is compared with some existing variable selection procedures. Finally, we propose a study to generalize our approach in complete variable selection.