有关资源占有效用的人口迁移动因研究

项目名称： 有关资源占有效用的人口迁移动因研究

项目编号： No.41301631

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2014

项目学科： 天文学、地球科学

项目作者： 杨维琼

作者单位： 西南财经大学

项目金额： 23万元

中文摘要： 作为一个快速工业化和城市化的发展中国家，目前中国人口迁移规模大、涉及区域广阔、类型复杂多样、存在问题多，往往与国家大政方针紧密相关；各种人口迁移现象下面都是深层次的资源占有问题，而资源短缺与快速消耗是另一个近期困扰中国的问题。本项目紧扣时代脉搏，从人必须消耗资源的特性出发，在梳理国内外现有人口迁移理论的基础上，提出最大化地获取资源占有效用驱动人口迁移这一理论。该理论视角新颖，既可以包含现多个现有理论的精华，也能更全面地解释多种人口迁移现象。拟采用静态面板数据模型、系统动力学、层次分析、3S技术和问卷调查等多种方法完成研究主题；研究内容包括构建资源占有效用驱动人口迁移理、检验资源占有对人口迁移的作用、对区域人口迁移实证分析、提出合理的人口对策与建议四个部分。最终达到构建新迁移理论的理论目标，和对未来国家人口政策的制定作出适当建议、为区域发展政策的制定提供科学决策的实践目标。

中文关键词： 资源；占有；效用；人口迁移；机制

英文摘要： As one of developing countries, china is under the process of rapid industrialization and urbanization. The number of migrants is very large in China. The migration has some problems, which take place in broad region. Migration is devided into diverse types which often are closely related with the national fundamental policy. All types result from the aim to possess more resources. And now China face another serious problem that the resources are badly shortage and quick consumed.So the reseach on the relationship between migration and resource is very important. After reading existing theories of human mobility, in terms of needs that people must consume resources, the new theory be put forward that to maximize utility of resources induce migration. The new theory are novelty, which is a different but not a paradoxical theory compared other theories. Several methods is used, such as static panel data, system dynamics, hierarchy analysis, 3S technologies and questionnaire. Our research can be categorized into 4 separate parts. Firstly, the theory about the maximum utility will be put forward. Secondly, the impacts of the possession on migrates will be verified. Thirdly, the empirical analysis about regional migration will by applied. Lastly, the reasonable countermeasures and suggestions will be brought forwar

英文关键词： resource；possess；utility；migration；mechanism