拥挤条件下攻击性驾驶行为特性及其交通影响研究

项目名称： 拥挤条件下攻击性驾驶行为特性及其交通影响研究

项目编号： No.51308074

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2014

项目学科： 建筑科学

项目作者： 喻丹

作者单位： 长沙理工大学

项目金额： 25万元

中文摘要： 随着交通环境的日益拥挤，驾驶人行车压力增大，挫折感增强，攻击性驾驶行为频频发生。其不仅降低了道路安全性能，还影响了道路通行效率，已成为影响道路交通运营的主要不良因素。本项目围绕拥挤路网下攻击性驾驶行为展开，重点研究该类行为的主要成因、产生机理、定量描述方法及行为后果。首先运用不确定性分析法和数据挖掘技术提取行为影响因子，设计行为评估方法，计算影响因子重要度。然后基于行为学理论，利用风险平衡分析法研究拥挤条件下攻击性驾驶行为产生机理。接着利用博弈论和行为学理论分支计划行为理论建立攻击性驾驶行为模型。以此基础，引入风险耦合理论、弹性理论和场论分析拥挤条件下攻击性驾驶行为、交通流、交通安全之间的相互影响，构建综合影响模型。并针对具体交通情景，提出一套行为预防、交通管控方法。本项目的研究对防范攻击性驾驶行为危害、减少道路交通事故、提高路网运行效率有积极的社会价值。

中文关键词： 攻击性；计划行为；拥挤流；稳态；预测控制

英文摘要： In today's society，aggressive driving often occurs, because the road traffic environment has became more and more crowded，the driving pressure and frustration has increased. Aggressive driving reduces not only the safety level of road traffic, but also the traffic efficiency. It has become the major adverse factors affecting road traffic operation. So the content of this foundation is about the aggressive driving, which includes the main contributing factors, generation mechanism, models and driving consequences analysis. Firstly, the influence factors of aggressive driving would be analyzed by a new assessment method, based on Uncertainty Theories and Data Mining Technology. Secondly, based on Behavior Theory, the he generation mechanism of aggressive driving would be researched by Risk Equilibrium Theory. Thirdly, two models of aggressive driving would be advanced based on Game Theory and Planned Behavior Theory. Then the interactions among aggressive driving, traffic stream and traffic safety would be analyzed, and a unified model would be advanced to summarize these relations. Lastly, the advice on traffic management and controlling would be proposed for some examples. The results of the foundation could help us prevent the mischief from aggressive driving, reduce the number of our road traffic accidents and

英文关键词： aggressive；planned behavior；congestion flow；Steady state；Predictive control