基于价格改革的能源利用效率与消费结构分析

项目名称： 基于价格改革的能源利用效率与消费结构分析

项目编号： No.51306072

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2014

项目学科： 能源与动力工程

项目作者： 蒋书敏

作者单位： 江苏大学

项目金额： 25万元

中文摘要： 本项目以系统动力学和能源经济学为理论基础，研究能源价格改革下的经济效率与消费结构的时空演化规律。通过定性与定量相结合的方法研究能源的价格形成机制；考察替代能源的投入产出比，深入研究各类能源产品价格的比价关系与供求关系。研究通过价格调整优化能源消费结构、提高能源利用效率的动力学机制；纳入环境成本、能源稀缺性和代际公平性三个约束条件，分析能源价格改革与消费结构变动和高能源效率之间的平衡机理。本项目的研究内容为能源价格改革及决策提供理论依据，具有重要的理论意义和应用价值。

中文关键词： 能源价格改革；能源生产；能源效率；能源消费；系统动力学

英文摘要： This project will investigate the space-time evolution regularities of the energy efficiency and energy consumption structure under the energy price reform by using the system dynamics and energy economics. We will perform profound researches to the energy price mechanisms based on the quantitative and qualitative methods. The price relations of different energy products and the relationship between energy supply and demand will be studied by considering the input-output ratio of the alternative energy. We will clarify the dynamic mechanism for the modulation of the energy price on the energy efficiency and consumption structure and find the strategy for achieving the optimization of energy consumption structure and the enhancement of energy efficiency based on the price adjustment. Under the constraints of environmental costs, energy scarcity, and intergenerational fairness, the balance mechanisms among the energy price reform, the optimized energy consumption structure, and the high energy efficiency will be revealed. The researches of this project will contribute to the energy price reform and give some valuable suggestions for the energy adjustment strategy.

英文关键词： Energy price reform；Energy production；Energy efficiency；Energy consumption；System Dynamics