We argue that the likelihood principle (LP) and weak law of likelihood (LL) generalize naturally to settings in which experimenters are justified only in making comparative, non-numerical judgments of the form "$A$ given $B$ is more likely than $C$ given $D$." To do so, we first \emph{formulate} qualitative analogs of those theses. Then, using a framework for qualitative conditional probability, just as the characterizes when all Bayesians (regardless of prior) agree that two pieces of evidence are equivalent, so a qualitative/non-numerical version of LP provides sufficient conditions for agreement among experimenters' whose degrees of belief satisfy only very weak "coherence" constraints. We prove a similar result for LL. We conclude by discussing the relevance of results to stopping rules.
翻译:我们争论说,可能性原则(LP)和薄弱的可能性法(LL)自然地概括到实验者只有在作出比较性、非数字性判断时才有理由对“给予B$$的A$”形式作出非数字性判断的情况下才有理由对“给B$美元”形式作出比较性判断。为了这样做,我们首先使用这些论文的质量性有条件概率框架,正如所有巴耶斯人(不论以前的情况如何)都同意两种证据是等效的特征一样,因此,LP的质量/非数字性版本为实验者之间的协议提供了充分的条件,而他们的信仰程度只满足非常弱的“一致性”限制。我们证明LLL的类似结果。我们通过讨论结果与停止规则的相关性来得出结论。