Coral bleaching is a major concern for marine ecosystems; more than half of the world's coral reefs have either bleached or died over the past three decades. Increasing sea surface temperatures, along with various spatiotemporal environmental factors, are considered the primary reasons behind coral bleaching. The statistical and machine learning communities have focused on multiple aspects of the environment in detail. However, the literature on various stochastic modeling approaches for assessing coral bleaching is extremely scarce. Data-driven strategies are crucial for effective reef management, and this review article provides an overview of existing statistical and machine learning methods for assessing coral bleaching. Statistical frameworks, including simple regression models, generalized linear models, generalized additive models, Bayesian regression models, spatiotemporal models, and resilience indicators, such as Fisher's Information and Variance Index, are commonly used to explore how different environmental stressors influence coral bleaching. On the other hand, machine learning methods, including random forests, decision trees, support vector machines, and spatial operators, are more popular for detecting nonlinear relationships, analyzing high-dimensional data, and allowing integration of heterogeneous data from diverse sources. In addition to summarizing these models, we also discuss potential data-driven future research directions, with a focus on constructing statistical and machine learning models in specific contexts related to coral bleaching.
翻译:珊瑚白化是海洋生态系统面临的重大威胁;过去三十年间,全球超过半数的珊瑚礁已出现白化或死亡现象。海表温度持续上升以及多种时空环境因子被认为是导致珊瑚白化的主要原因。统计学与机器学习学界已从多维度对环境因素展开深入研究,然而针对珊瑚白化评估的随机建模方法文献仍极为匮乏。数据驱动策略对珊瑚礁有效管理至关重要,本文综述了现有用于珊瑚白化评估的统计与机器学习方法。统计框架(包括简单回归模型、广义线性模型、广义加性模型、贝叶斯回归模型、时空模型)以及韧性指标(如费希尔信息量与方差指数)常被用于探究不同环境胁迫因子对珊瑚白化的影响机制。另一方面,随机森林、决策树、支持向量机及空间算子等机器学习方法更擅长捕捉非线性关系、处理高维数据,并能整合多源异构数据。除系统梳理现有模型外,本文还探讨了未来数据驱动的研究方向,重点关注面向珊瑚白化特定场景的统计与机器学习模型构建。