Online public opinion usually spreads rapidly and widely, thus a small incident probably evolves into a large social crisis in a very short time, and results in a heavy loss in credit or economic aspects. We propose a method to rate the crisis of online public opinion based on a multi-level index system to evaluate the impact of events objectively. Firstly, the dissemination mechanism of online public opinion is explained from the perspective of information ecology. According to the mechanism, some evaluation indexes are selected through correlation analysis and principal component analysis. Then, a classification model of text emotion is created via the training by deep learning to achieve the accurate quantification of the emotional indexes in the index system. Finally, based on the multi-level evaluation index system and grey correlation analysis, we propose a method to rate the crisis of online public opinion. The experiment with the real-time incident show that this method can objectively evaluate the emotional tendency of Internet users and rate the crisis in different dissemination stages of online public opinion. It is helpful to realizing the crisis warning of online public opinion and timely blocking the further spread of the crisis.
翻译:在线公共舆论通常迅速和广泛传播,因此,一个小事件可能在很短的时间内演变成一场巨大的社会危机,导致信用或经济方面的重大损失。我们提出一种方法,根据一个多层次指数系统来评估在线公共舆论危机,以便客观地评估事件的影响。首先,在线公共舆论的传播机制是从信息生态角度解释的。根据这一机制,一些评价指数是通过相关分析和主要组成部分分析来选择的。然后,通过深层次学习的培训来创建文本情感分类模式,以便实现指数系统中情感指数的准确量化。最后,根据多层次的评估指数系统和灰色相关分析,我们提出一种方法来评估在线公共舆论危机。实时事件实验表明,这种方法可以客观地评估互联网用户的情感倾向,并在在线公共舆论的不同传播阶段评估危机。这有助于实现在线公共舆论危机警报,并及时阻止危机的进一步蔓延。