Measuring the effect of peers on individual outcomes is a challenging problem, in part because individuals often select peers who are similar in both observable and unobservable ways. Group formation experiments avoid this problem by randomly assigning individuals to groups and observing their responses; for example, do first-year students have better grades when they are randomly assigned roommates who have stronger academic backgrounds? Standard approaches for analyzing these experiments, however, are heavily model-dependent and generally fail to exploit the randomized design. In this paper, we extend methods from randomization-based testing under interference to group formation experiments. The proposed tests are justified by the randomization itself, require relatively few assumptions, and are exact in finite samples. First, we develop procedures that yield valid tests for arbitrary group formation designs. Second, we derive sufficient conditions on the design such that the randomization test can be implemented via simple random permutations. We apply this approach to two recent group formation experiments and implement the proposed method in the new RGroupFormation R package.
翻译:衡量同龄人对个人结果的影响是一个具有挑战性的问题,部分原因是个人往往选择在可观察和不可观察方式上都相似的同龄人。集体形成实验通过随机将个人分配到团体并观察其反应来避免这一问题;例如,当第一年的学生是随机分配到具有较强学术背景的室友时,他们的成绩是否更好?然而,分析这些实验的标准方法严重依赖模型,而且一般无法利用随机设计。在本文中,我们将干预下的随机化测试方法推广到团体形成实验。提议的测试有随机化本身的正当理由,需要相对较少的假设,并且精确地体现在有限的样本中。首先,我们制定程序,为任意的团体形成设计产生有效的测试。第二,我们从设计中获取足够的条件,以便随机化测试能够通过简单的随机互换方式进行。我们将这一方法应用于最近两个集体形成实验,并在新的RGroupForation R软件包中实施拟议的方法。