Unmeasured confounding and selection bias are often of concern in observational studies and may invalidate a causal analysis if not appropriately accounted for. Under outcome-dependent sampling, a latent factor that has causal effects on the treatment, outcome, and sample selection process may cause both unmeasured confounding and selection bias, rendering standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Under an odds ratio model for the treatment effect, Li et al. 2022 established both proximal identification and estimation of causal effects by leveraging a pair of negative control variables as proxies of latent factors at the source of both confounding and selection bias. However, their approach relies exclusively on the existence and correct specification of a so-called treatment confounding bridge function, a model that restricts the treatment assignment mechanism. In this article, we propose doubly robust estimation under the odds ratio model with respect to two nuisance functions -- a treatment confounding bridge function and an outcome confounding bridge function that restricts the outcome law, such that our estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal if either bridge function model is correctly specified, without knowing which one is. Thus, our proposed doubly robust estimator is potentially more robust than that of Li et al. 2022. Our simulations confirm that the proposed proximal estimators of an odds ratio causal effect can adequately account for both residual confounding and selection bias under stated conditions with well-calibrated confidence intervals in a wide range of scenarios, where standard methods generally fail to be consistent. In addition, the proposed doubly robust estimator is consistent if at least one confounding bridge function is correctly specified.
翻译:在观察研究中,不测的混乱和选择偏差往往引起观察研究的关注,如果没有适当说明,则可能使因果关系分析无效。在基于结果的抽样中,一个潜在因素,对治疗、结果和抽样选择过程具有因果关系,可能导致不测的混乱和选择偏差,使标准因果关系参数无法在不附加假设的情况下被识别。在对治疗效果的偏差比率模型中,Li等人(2022年)通过利用一组负面控制变量作为潜在因素的替代物,确定和估计因果关系。然而,在基于结果的偏差和选择偏差的来源中,它们的方法完全取决于所谓治疗相错的桥梁功能的存在和正确规格,而这种模型限制了治疗分配机制。在本篇文章中,我们提议在对两种偏差率模型中,即治疗相近的桥梁功能和结果相近的桥梁功能,限制了结果法,因此,我们的估算结果是一致和正常的,如果对一个桥梁功能进行正确的说明,那么一个桥断断差的模型是准确的。因此,我们提出的标准比一个更稳健的计算法的计算法可以证实。