Learning to predict masked tokens in a sequence has been shown to be a helpful pretraining objective for powerful language models such as PaLM2. After training, such masked language models (MLMs) can provide distributions of tokens in the masked positions in a sequence. However, this paper shows that distributions corresponding to different masking patterns can demonstrate considerable inconsistencies, i.e., they cannot be derived from a coherent joint distribution when considered together. This fundamental flaw in MLMs can lead to self-contradictory behaviors during inference. On various benchmark datasets including MMLU, MLMs can give different predictions to the same input question. From BERT-base to UL2-20B, we show that such inconsistencies exist ubiquitously in MLMs of diverse sizes and configurations. In light of our observations, we further propose an inference-time strategy for MLMs called Ensemble of Conditionals. It jointly considers a selected range of inconsistent conditionals directly produced by the MLM for the final prediction, which often leads to considerable accuracy improvement.
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