We review epidemiological models for the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemic during the early months of the outbreak: from February to May 2020. The aim is to propose a methodological review that highlights the following characteristics: (i) the epidemic propagation models, (ii) the modeling of intervention strategies, (iii) the models and estimation procedures of the epidemic parameters and (iv) the characteristics of the data used. We finally selected 80 articles from open access databases based on criteria such as the theoretical background, the reproducibility, the incorporation of interventions strategies, etc. It mainly resulted to phenomenological, compartmental and individual-level models. A digital companion including an online sheet, a Kibana interface and a markdown document is proposed. Finally, this work provides an opportunity to witness how the scientific community reacted to this unique situation.
翻译:我们审查了2020年2月至5月疫情爆发后最初几个月传播COVID-19流行病的流行病学模式,目的是提出方法审查,突出以下特点:(一) 流行病传播模式,(二) 干预战略模型,(三) 流行病参数模型和估计程序,(四) 所用数据的特点,我们最后根据理论背景、可复制性、干预战略的结合等标准,从开放存取数据库中挑选了80篇文章,主要产生了人文学、分门别类和个人层面的模式,提出了包括在线表格、基巴纳接口和记分制文件在内的数字同伴,最后,这项工作为科学界如何应对这一独特情况提供了机会。