A dynamic programming algorithm for informative measurements and near-optimal path-planning

An informative measurement is the most efficient way to gain information about an unknown state. We give a first-principles derivation of a general-purpose dynamic programming algorithm that returns a sequence of informative measurements by sequentially maximizing the entropy of possible measurement outcomes. This algorithm can be used by an autonomous agent or robot to decide where best to measure next, planning a path corresponding to an optimal sequence of informative measurements. This algorithm is applicable to states and controls that are continuous or discrete, and agent dynamics that is either stochastic or deterministic; including Markov decision processes. Recent results from approximate dynamic programming and reinforcement learning, including on-line approximations such as rollout and Monte Carlo tree search, allow an agent or robot to solve the measurement task in real-time. The resulting near-optimal solutions include non-myopic paths and measurement sequences that can generally outperform, sometimes substantially, commonly-used greedy heuristics such as maximizing the entropy of each measurement outcome. This is demonstrated for a global search problem, where on-line planning with an extended local search is found to reduce the number of measurements in the search by half.