In this article, we consider a compound Poisson-type model for households' capital. Using risk theory techniques, we determine the probability of a household falling under the poverty line. Microinsurance is then introduced to analyse its impact as an insurance solution for the lower income class. Our results validate those previously obtained with this type of model, showing that microinsurance alone is not sufficient to reduce the probability of falling into the area of poverty for specific groups of people, since premium payments constrain households' capital growth. This indicates the need for additional aid particularly from the government. As such, we propose several premium subsidy strategies and discuss the role of government in subsidising microinsurance to help reduce poverty.
翻译:在本条中,我们考虑家庭资本的复合Poisson型模型。使用风险理论技术,我们确定家庭处于贫困线以下的概率。然后引入了小额保险,分析其作为低收入阶层保险解决方案的影响。我们的结果证实了以前通过此类模式获得的保险,表明单靠小额保险不足以降低特定人群陷入贫困的可能性,因为保险费支付限制了家庭资本的增长。这表明需要额外援助,特别是政府的援助。因此,我们提出了几项保费补贴战略,并讨论了政府在补贴小额保险以帮助减贫方面的作用。