Causal effect variational autoencoder (CEVAE) are trained to predict the outcome given observational treatment data, while uniform treatment variational autoencoders (UTVAE) are trained with uniform treatment distribution using importance sampling. In this paper, we show that using uniform treatment over observational treatment distribution leads to better causal inference by mitigating the distribution shift that occurs from training to test time. We also explore the combination of uniform and observational treatment distributions with inference and generative network training objectives to find a better training procedure for inferring treatment effect. Experimentally, we find that the proposed UTVAE yields better absolute average treatment effect error and precision in estimation of heterogeneous effect error than the CEVAE on synthetic and IHDP datasets.
翻译:在本文件中,我们表明,对观测处理分布采用统一处理方法,通过减少从培训到测试时间的分布转移,可以产生更好的因果推断;我们还探讨将统一和观察处理分布与推断和基因化网络培训目标结合起来,以找到更好的培训程序来推断治疗效果;我们实验性地发现,拟议的UTVAE产生比合成和IHDP数据集的CEVAE更好的绝对平均处理效果错误,在估计混杂效应错误方面准确性强的绝对平均处理效果错误。