We study a variant of cost-aware sequential hypothesis testing in which a single active Decision Maker (DM) selects actions with positive, random costs to identify the true hypothesis under an average error constraint, while minimizing the expected total cost. The DM may abort an in-progress action, yielding no sample, by truncating its realized cost at a smaller, tunable deterministic limit, which we term a per-action deadline. We analyze how this cancellation option can be exploited under two cost-revelation models: ex-post, where the cost is revealed only after the sample is obtained, and ex-ante, where the cost accrues before sample acquisition. In the ex-post model, per-action deadlines do not affect the expected total cost, and the cost-error tradeoffs coincide with the baseline obtained by replacing deterministic costs with cost means. In the ex-ante model, we show how per-action deadlines inflate the expected number of times actions are applied, and that the resulting expected total cost can be reduced to the constant-cost setting by introducing an effective per-action cost. We characterize when deadlines are beneficial and study several families in detail.
翻译:本文研究一种成本感知序贯假设检验的变体:在平均错误率约束下,单个主动决策者通过选择具有正随机成本的动作来识别真实假设,同时最小化期望总成本。决策者可通过将已实现成本截断至一个更小、可调的确定性上限(我们称之为每动作截止时间)来中止正在执行的动作,此时不产生样本。我们分析了在两种成本揭示模型下如何利用这一取消选项:事后模型(成本仅在获得样本后揭示)与事前模型(成本在样本获取前累积)。在事后模型中,每动作截止时间不影响期望总成本,且成本-错误权衡与用成本均值替换确定性成本所得的基线结果一致。在事前模型中,我们证明了每动作截止时间会增大动作应用的期望次数,并且通过引入有效每动作成本,可将所得期望总成本降至恒定成本设置的水平。我们刻画了截止时间何时具有益处,并对若干具体族类进行了详细研究。