Recent applications of machine learning (ML) reveal a noticeable shift from its use for predictive modeling in the sense of a data-driven construction of models mainly used for the purpose of prediction (of ground-truth facts) to its use for prescriptive modeling. What is meant by this is the task of learning a model that stipulates appropriate decisions about the right course of action in real-world scenarios: Which medical therapy should be applied? Should this person be hired for the job? As argued in this article, prescriptive modeling comes with new technical conditions for learning and new demands regarding reliability, responsibility, and the ethics of decision making. Therefore, to support the data-driven design of decision-making agents that act in a rational but at the same time responsible manner, a rigorous methodological foundation of prescriptive ML is needed. The purpose of this short paper is to elaborate on specific characteristics of prescriptive ML and to highlight some key challenges it implies. Besides, drawing connections to other branches of contemporary AI research, the grounding of prescriptive ML in a (generalized) decision-theoretic framework is advocated.
翻译:机器学习(ML)的近期应用显示,从数据驱动模型用于预测模型(主要用于预测(地面事实)的模型)到数据驱动模型用于规范型模型(ML)的明显变化,这意味着要学习一个模型,就现实世界情景中正确的行动方针作出适当决定:应采用哪种医疗疗法?是否雇用这个人从事这项工作?正如本条所争论的那样,规范型模型带来了新的学习技术条件和关于可靠性、责任和决策道德的新要求。因此,为了支持以合理但同时负责的方式行事的决策人员的数据驱动设计,需要有一个严格的规范型ML方法基础。本短文的目的是阐述规范型ML的具体特点,并突出其中隐含的一些关键挑战。此外,还主张将规范型ML纳入(一般化)决策理论框架。